Papers in preparation
- [UPDATED] Fueling conflict? (De)Escalation and bilateral aid (with Martin Gassebner, Paul Schaudt and Sarah Langlotz), submitted.
- [NEW] Top Lights: On the contribution of bright spots to economic development (with Melanie Krause). First draft at IARIW website.
- Grievance meets opportunity: Economic shocks, spatial inequality and civil conflicts (with Melvin H. L. Wong). Full draft due late 2017.
- Political borders within artificial states (with Christian Lessmann and Paul Schaudt). First draft due late 2017.
Economic growth and the political economics of crises
- [UPDATED] Holding on? Ethnic divisions, political institutions and the duration of economic declines (with K. Thomsson), submitted.
- [UPDATED] Do weak institutions prolong crises? On the identification, characteristics, and duration of declines during economic slumps (with D. de Crombrugghe and A. Szirmai), R&R, World Bank Economic Review.
- The dynamics of stagnation (with D. de Crombrugghe and A. Szirmai), Macroeconomic Dynamics, Vol. 20(8).
Development economics: poverty and inequality
- [UPDATED] Poverty accounting: A fractional response approach to the decomposition and prediction of poverty rates (with D. de Crombrugghe and A. Szirmai), R&R, European Economic Review.
- [SUPERSEDED] The pace of poverty reduction: A fractional response approach (with D. de Crombrugghe and A. Szirmai), merged into Poverty Accounting.
- [SUPERSEDED] Poor trends: The pace of poverty reduction after the Millennium Development Agenda (with D. de Crombrugghe and A. Szirmai), link to short video on the paper. merged into Poverty Accounting.
- fhetprob: A fast QMLE Stata routine for fractional probit models with multiplicative heteroskedasticity, retired background paper
- Inequality in Sub-Saharan Africa 2016 (with D. de Crombrugghe and Augustin Fosu). Forthcoming as EU – DG DEVCO report.
For some papers I am implementing a new method, adapting an old one or discovering otherwise interesting things. My plan is to eventually post the most exciting bits either as code-snippets, fully-fledged Stata programs, or R functions under the heading “Data & Code”. Alternatively, I may write a blog post about some of these techniques and their applications. Under “Data & Code” you can also find the data sets used in my most recent papers.